Your Metascore Predictions for 30 Summer Movies

  • Publish Date: May 4, 2016
  • Comments: ↓ 24 user comments

The results are in ...

Earlier this month, we asked you to predict the final Metascores for 30 of this summer's most notable releases, based only on viewing a trailer and reading a description for each film. Nearly 5,700 of you did just that, and the aggregate results of your predictions are below.

This is the 7th year we have asked for summer Metascore predictions, and some years turn out better than others. Last year wasn't one of the good ones: our users overestimated the scores for two-thirds of the films, and were off by an average of 11.4 points per movie. (View last year's results, or those for 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, and 2010.) We'll post the final results of this year's predictions just after Labor Day weekend.

Metascore predictions from Metacritic users

"Predicted" scores are the median responses from all valid predictions made for each film. The "Actual" scores will update as reviews are added for each film.

PosterMoney Monster Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
65 .

May 13
Jodie Foster directs George Clooney, Julia Roberts, and Jack O'Connell in a real-time thriller about a financial news anchor who is taken hostage by an irate viewer while on the air.

PosterThe Angry Birds Movie Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
54 .

May 20
The hit iPhone game franchise somehow becomes a major motion picture with this animated tale that features the voices of Jason Sudeikis, Josh Gad, Danny McBride, and Bill Hader.

PosterNeighbors 2: Sorority Rising Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
50 .

May 20
This sequel to the 2014 comedy Neighbors returns stars Seth Rogen, Rose Byrne and Zac Efron and adds Chloë Grace Moretz.

PosterThe Nice Guys Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
68 .

May 20
Writer-director Shane Black's follow-up to Iron Man 3 is an action comedy set in 1970s Los Angeles, with a cast that includes Ryan Gosling, Russell Crowe, and Kim Basinger.

PosterAlice Through the Looking Glass Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
54 .

May 27
The Muppets director James Bobin takes over from Tim Burton for this sequel to 2010's Alice in Wonderland. Returning stars Mia Wasikowska, Johnny Depp, Anne Hathaway, and Helena Bonham Carter are joined by Sacha Baron Cohen.

PosterX-Men: Apocalypse Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
71 .

May 27
Oscar Isaac plays the first mutant in this sequel to 2014's X-Men: Days of Future Past. Returning for director Bryan Singer are James McAvoy, Michael Fassbender, and Jennifer Lawrence, among others.

PosterPopstar: Never Stop Never Stopping Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
47 .

June 3
The first feature film from The Lonely Island (Andy Samberg, Akiva Schaffer and Jorma Taccone) tracks the fall of singer/rapper Conner4Real (Samberg) as his sophomore album flops and he’s forced to reunite with his old boy band.

PosterTeenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
37 .

June 3
This sequel to 2014's live-action Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles returns much of the cast (including Megan Fox and Will Arnett) but features a new director, Dave Green (Earth to Echo).

PosterThe Conjuring 2 Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
56 .

June 10
James Wan (Furious 7) directs this sequel to his 2013 horror hit The Conjuring. Vera Farmiga and Patrick Wilson return for a new story based on the Enfield Poltergeist.

PosterNow You See Me 2  Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
51 .

June 10
This sequel to the surprise hit 2013 magician heist thriller Now You See Me picks up one year later. A new director (Jon M. Chu, Jem and the Holograms) adds Lizzy Caplan and Daniel Radcliffe to returning stars like Woody Harrelson, Michael Caine, and Jesse Eisenberg.

PosterWarcraft Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
58 .

June 10
Duncan Jones (Source Code) directs this first feature based on the Blizzard's long-running fantasy videogame series that finally emerges after a decade in development. Travis Fimmel, Paula Patton, Ben Foster, and Dominic Cooper star.

PosterCentral Intelligence Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
42 .

June 17
An action-comedy starring Dwayne Johnson as a once-bullied geek turned CIA agent who recruits the star of his high school (Kevin Hart) for a secret mission. Rawson Marshall Thurber (We’re the Millers) directs.

PosterFinding Dory  Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
80 .

June 17
Pixar's summer release is a sequel to the beloved 2003 classic Finding Nemo. The voices of Ellen DeGeneres and Albert Brooks star for returning director Andrew Stanton.

PosterFree State of Jones Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
71 .

June 24
Gary Ross’ first directorial effort since The Hunger Games tells the true story of Newt Knight (Matthew McConaughey) and his rebellion that led Jones County, Mississippi to secede from the Confederacy. Gugu Mbatha-Raw and Keri Russell also star.

PosterIndependence Day: Resurgence Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
52 .

June 24
This belated sequel to the 1996 alien invasion thriller Independence Day returns stars Jeff Goldblum, Bill Pullman, Judd Hirsch, and Vivica A. Fox (but not Will Smith). Director Roland Emmerich also returns.

PosterThe Shallows Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
47 .

June 24
It's Blake Lively vs. shark in this survival thriller set in the ocean. Jaume Collet-Serra (Run All Night) directs.

PosterThe BFG Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
75 .

July 1
Roald Dahl's children's book about a "Big Friendly Giant" comes to the big screen courtesy of director Steven Spielberg, who re-enlists his Bridge of Spies star Mark Rylance.

PosterThe Legend of Tarzan Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
60 .

July 1
Frequent Harry Potter director David Yates helms this latest adaptation of the Tarzan story to the big screen. Alexander Skarsgård, Samuel L. Jackson, Margot Robbie, Djimon Hounsou, and Christoph Waltz star.

PosterThe Purge: Election Year Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
41 .

July 1
The third installment in the anything-goes-for-one-night horror series follows The Purge and The Purge: Anarchy. Frank Grillo and Elizabeth Mitchell star.

PosterThe Secret Life of Pets Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
66 .

July 8
This animated family film from the studio behind Despicable Me features the voices of Louis C.K., Eric Stonestreet, Kevin Hart, Ellie Kemper, Lake Bell, and Jenny Slate.

PosterGhostbusters Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
54 .

July 15
Three decades after the original, Paul Feig directs a new version of the supernatural comedy featuring a mostly female cast (including Melissa McCarthy, Kristen Wiig, Kate McKinnon, and Leslie Jones). Expect cameos from the original stars.

PosterStar Trek Beyond Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
67 .

July 22
Justin Lin (Fast & Furious 6) takes over from J.J. Abrams as director for the third Trek film to feature the current Chris Pine-led cast. Newcomers include Idris Elba.

PosterJason Bourne Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
75 .

July 29
Matt Damon returns to the Bourne franchise after sitting out 2012's The Bourne Legacy, reuniting with his Bourne Ultimatum director Paul Greengrass. Julia Stiles and Alicia Vikander also star.

PosterSuicide Squad Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
70 .

August 5
The third film in the new DC Extended Universe series stars Will Smith, Jared Leto, Margot Robbie, Joel Kinnaman, and Viola Davis (while Ben Affleck reappears as Batman). David Ayer (Fury) writes and directs.

PosterBen-Hur Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
48 .

August 12
William Wyler's 1959 epic (itself one of Hollywood's first remakes) is considered one of the best films ever made, so Timur Bekmambetov's new version will have a lot to live up to. Jack Huston, Morgan Freeman, and (playing the newly enlarged role of Jesus) Rodrigo Santoro star.

PosterPete's Dragon Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
65 .

August 12
Disney's 1977 musical live-action/animation hybrid gets the remake treatment. The new film is not a musical but instead emphasizes the fantasy/adventure story about a young orphan who claims to live with a dragon in the woods.

PosterSausage Party  Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
62 .

August 12
Definitely not for kids, this animated comedy (a bit of a Pixar spoof) is co-written by Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg and features the voices of Rogen, Kristen Wiig, Jonah Hill, Bill Hader, Michael Cera, and James Franco.

PosterKubo and the Two Strings Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
75 .

August 19
The latest from stop-motion animation house Laika (Coraline, ParaNorman) is a fantasy set in ancient Japan.

PosterWar Dogs  Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
62 .

August 19
Todd Phillips directs this based-on-a-true-story comedy about two arms dealers (Jonah Hill and Miles Teller) who find themselves in over their heads after securing a $300 million government contract to supply weapons in Afghanistan.

PosterThe Light Between Oceans Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
76 .

September 2
The latest drama from Derek Cianfrance (Blue Valentine) is set on the Western Australia coast after World War I and stars Michael Fassbender, Alicia Vikander, and Rachel Weisz.

 

Comments (24)

  • DanBurrito  

    I'm sorry, but no way am I believing that Suicide Squad is worse than Batman v Superman. No way.

  • Blanche  

    Seems that the user scores are - usually - far more accurate to the predicted score as per normal.

  • DanBurrito  

    The Purge 3 has a 71!!! That might just be the biggest surprise of the summer.

  • boy  

    Believe me, Ghostbusters will be about 60.

  • DanBurrito  

    Well, we were way off on Free State of Jones. As of now, it has a 45.

  • DanBurrito  

    WOO-HOO! I WAS SPOT-ON FOR NEIGHBOURS 2! 58/100!

  • lukeanthony  

    It's kind of unfortunate that people just think Ghostbusters will get bad reviews only because of a misogynist outlook.

    On another topic, Hey Jason Dietz, is it possible for us to see the scores we chose as well?

  • mnhuh  

    Wow, TMNT 2 is better than its predecessor. Just like I expected by the trailers.

  • DanBurrito  

    And NOW it appears we've underestimated The Conjuring 2! I was certain that would get 50.

  • DanBurrito  

    It appears most of us (including me) have underestimated Popstar.

New in Metacritic Reports

  1. The 20 Best Movies of 2020 So Far Image
    Published: July 2, 2020
  2. What to Watch Now on Starz Image
    Published: July 1, 2020
  3. What to Watch Now on Peacock Image
    Published: July 1, 2020
  4. What to Watch Now on Disney+ Image
    Published: June 26, 2020
  5. What to Watch Now on Prime Video Image
    Published: June 25, 2020
  6. What to Watch Now on Netflix Image
    Published: June 24, 2020
  7. Every Spike Lee Movie, Ranked Image
    Published: June 23, 2020
  8. What to Watch Now on HBO Max and the HBO App Image
    Published: June 23, 2020

What Our Users Are Talking About

  1. /feature/best-videogames-of-the-decade-2010s Image
    Best Video Games of the Decade (2010-19)
    December 6, 2019 - 24 comments
    1. amirno400 : GTA should be on top Read »
  2. /feature/critics-pick-top-10-best-albums-of-2019 Image
    Best of 2019: Music Critic Top Ten Lists
    December 2, 2019 - 5 comments
    1. andyn823 : my list for 2019 : 1. Norman **** Rockwell - Lana Del Rey 2. Lover - Taylor Swift 3. thank u, next - Ariana Grande... Read »
  3. /feature/best-albums-of-the-decade-2010s Image
    Best Albums of the Decade (2010-19)
    November 5, 2019 - 13 comments
    1. andyn823 : my best albums of the decade of 2010s (in order) : 1. 1989 - Taylor Swift 2. Melodrama - Lorde 3. Lemonade -... Read »
  4. /feature/2019-emmy-prediction-poll Image
    Predict the 2019 Emmy Award Winners
    July 17, 2019 - 5 comments
    1. wekselaga1 : Great :) Read »
    2. kubek1098 : Good predictions! :) :D :P Read »
    3. kubek1098 : Nice predictions. :) Read »
  5. /feature/new-free-games-playstation-xbox-pc-switch Image
    Free (& Subscription) Games for All Platforms: New & Upcoming
    June 25, 2020 - 16 comments
    1. mmdhpan : thiss month is not may we are waiting for june Read »
  6. /feature/best-new-streaming-movies-and-tv-march-2015 Image
    What to Watch Now: Best New Streaming Movies & TV
    March 18, 2015 - 4 comments
    1. pimij67062 : Visit W3Schools.com! Read »
  7. /feature/tv-premiere-dates Image
    2020 Summer TV Premiere Calendar
    May 5, 2020 - 231 comments
    1. Sjberke : EPIX is starting Britannia (British SkyTV Romans in Britain drama first shown there in 2018 and on Amazon Prime) on... Read »
    2. baskfjr : Please visit (http://solutiontemples.com) to get your ex back immediately Hello friends,I am Campbell matt, This is... Read »